Wednesday, January 02, 2019

Fed rate hike helps home loan rates improve


Jeffrey Loyd
Mortgage Loan Officer
Phone: +1 212 243-0373
Fax +1 347 686-6406
NMLS #:: 410097
jloyd@unfcu.com
www.unfcu.org/JeffreyL
In This Issue
Last Week in Review: Spring rates revisited

Forecast for the Week: Santa Claus rally anyone?

View: Learn How To Make Your Brand More Compelling

Last Week in Review
"Hut one, hut two...HIKE!!!!"



It was all about the Fed this past week. On Wednesday, they "hiked" the Fed Funds Rate by 25 basis points (0.25 percent). That rate affects short-term loans like auto and credit cards what it doesn't affect are home loan rates.

Home loan rates actually improved to the best levels since April. Why?

The Fed Statement suggested that inflation is moderating and remains beneath the Fed's target of 2 percent year over year.

If Inflation remains low, long term rates - like mortgages, will also remain relatively low.

Also helping home loan rates improve was a big sell-off in Stocks. The Stock market hated the Fed Monetary Policy Statement which suggested more hikes next year, despite acknowledging low inflation and slowing economic conditions around the globe.

Stocks don't like Fed rate hikes as they weigh on economic growth due to added costs of financing.

Bottom line - home loan rates moved nicely lower this past week representing the best time since spring to either purchase or refinance a home.


If you or someone you know has questions about home loans, give me a call. I'd be happy to help.

Forecast for the Week
The financial markets enter what is typically one of the slowest weeks of the year as the Christmas holiday is celebrated.

The Stock and Bond markets will close early on Monday and will be closed Tuesday for Christmas.

Economic news will be on the light side with housing data and Consumer Confidence as the highlights.

However - the Bond markets will have to contend with the Treasury Department auctioning off a total of $113B in 2, 5 and 7-year Notes on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday. If the buying appetite at these auctions are not good, home loan rates might suffer.

A "Santa Claus rally" for Stocks usually takes place in the month of December, generally seen in the last week of the year from December 26 to January 2. We shall see if that comes to pass and that too could negatively impact home loan rates.

Reports to watch:
  • Housing data will come from Wednesday's S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, followed by New Home Sales on Thursday and Friday's Pending Home Sales.
  • Consumer Confidence will be delivered on Thursday and is running at sky-high levels.


Chart: Fannie Mae 4.0% Mortgage Bond (Friday, December 21, 2018)
Japanese Candlestick Chart


The Mortgage Market Guide View...
Tip: Branding Checklist: Is Your Brand Compelling?

Your brand is the company story that tells the world who you are, what your company stands for, and what solutions you can provide for your customers. Since branding is so crucial, how do you know if your current branding is working for you? Make sure your brand is compelling by following a few simple tips.

A compelling brand evokes images of who your company is and what you do in the minds of your customers and prospects. The only way to create this connection is by developing a memorable and genuine brand story. Your brand story should convey your company history, values, and purpose in a way that connects with customers.

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With proper planning, development, and consistency, you can create a compelling brand that will help you stay at the forefront of consumers' minds and ahead of the competition.

Sources: Forbes, Business 2 Community



Economic Calendar for the Week of December 24 - December 28
Date
ET
Economic Report
For
Estimate
Actual
Prior
Impact
Wed. December 26
09:00
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Oct
NA
5.1%
Moderate
Thu. December 27
08:30
Jobless Claims (Initial)
12/22
NA
214K
Moderate
Thu. December 27
10:00
New Home Sales
Nov
NA
544K
Moderate
Thu. December 27
10:00
Consumer Confidence
Dec
NA
135.7
Moderate
Fri. December 28
10:00
Pending Home Sales
Nov
NA
-2.6%
Moderate
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As your mortgage professional, I am sending you the MMG WEEKLY because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

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